Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.052480 0.061234 0.070850 0.082176 0.095128 0.109458 0.126489
2025-02-23 0.038475 0.049732 0.063255 0.080615 0.102215 0.128110 0.161397
2025-03-02 0.029244 0.041427 0.057271 0.079198 0.108532 0.146171 0.197827
2025-03-09 0.023633 0.036334 0.054054 0.080239 0.117530 0.168226 0.241739
2025-03-16 0.018592 0.030865 0.049146 0.077841 0.121090 0.183022 0.277335
2025-03-23 0.016266 0.028880 0.048765 0.081641 0.133641 0.211429 0.334828
2025-03-30 0.013790 0.026117 0.046633 0.082257 0.141207 0.233043 0.384318
2025-04-06 0.011391 0.022980 0.043310 0.080316 0.144245 0.247734 0.424337
2025-04-13 0.009556 0.020472 0.040598 0.078887 0.147732 0.263189 0.466700
2025-04-20 0.008759 0.019771 0.040964 0.082841 0.160740 0.295341 0.539138
2025-04-27 0.007953 0.018889 0.040830 0.085792 0.172188 0.325765 0.611166
2025-05-04 0.006730 0.016884 0.038182 0.083546 0.173752 0.338935 0.654236
2025-05-11 0.005812 0.015395 0.036399 0.082864 0.178387 0.358403 0.710984
2025-05-18 0.004906 0.013744 0.034007 0.080590 0.179631 0.371733 0.757789
2025-05-25 0.004181 0.012375 0.031999 0.078825 0.181643 0.386630 0.808759
2025-06-01 0.003731 0.011610 0.031243 0.079683 0.189157 0.412810 0.883438
2025-06-08 0.003158 0.010379 0.029163 0.077212 0.189206 0.424047 0.929681
2025-06-15 0.002976 0.010213 0.029689 0.080937 0.203302 0.465123 1.038928
2025-06-22 0.002666 0.009600 0.028967 0.081525 0.210340 0.492047 1.121329
2025-06-29 0.002295 0.008702 0.027331 0.079587 0.211278 0.506017 1.177812
2025-07-06 0.001994 0.007955 0.025976 0.078164 0.213245 0.522326 1.240447
2025-07-13 0.001905 0.007906 0.026601 0.082082 0.228646 0.569688 1.373667
2025-07-20 0.001790 0.007737 0.026849 0.085006 0.241867 0.613152 1.501407